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Calculators – does Tony Abbott have one?

calculator-1

(by SockPuppet ~ working for the dole @ Chez Hall)

Prime Minister Tony Abbott is not a brain surgeon or Einstein but he is still smart too and he has said it is not unreasonable to ask job seekers to make 40 job applications a month despite complaints from business that it would increase red tape and be a burden on businesses:

”What we want is job seekers who are active, not passive,” Mr Abbott told 2UE radio.

”It is not an unreasonable expectation or aspiration that we have … we want to ensure that people on unemployment benefits really are serious in looking for work, but we don’t want to unnecessarily burden small business,” he said.

Now I am not good at arithmetic but I have a brother who has a calculator he brought at Woolies for $5 (see above left).

So I asked him to run some numbers and he says it tells this:

550,000 dole bludgers X 40 = 22 million mostly useless job applications per month

AND

22 million X 12 = 264 million (mostly useless) job applications per year

And I am not Einstein either but I reckon there are nuthing like 264 MILLION jobs being offered in Australia every year.

Not even close.

My brother says its probably less than HALF A MILLION and that his Woolies $5 calculator says:

264 million divided by halfa million = 528 applications per job

I will say it again:

Tony Abbotts plan means businesses will get an average of 528 applications for every job.

Or even more because most dole bludgers will not be applying for top paying jobs like:

  • CEO , Rocket Scientist, Brain Surgeon, Computer Genius, Nuclear Physicist, Head Chef at the Hilton, Malaysian Airlines Pilot

Or even not-so-top-paying specialist jobs like:

  • Train Driver, Lion Tamer, Teacher, Social Media Expert, Senior Writer @ The Age, Lawyer, Adventure Activities Instructor

No, most dole bludgers would be looking at low-paid and low-skilled jobs like:

  • Laborer, Factory Hand, Clerk, Shop Assistant, Waiter, Council Worker, Vic Roads Sign Holder

And this means most jobs could get up to 1000 applications.

And that is alot of work and might even create morejobs just to sort out the duds from the real and the shit from the clay sorta thing.

Is that Tonys plan? Create a whole new type of job called:

Job Application Shit Sifter

Or does as I think Tony Abbott needs a $5 calculator just to bring him up to speed?

He can borrow my brothers.

The more things change the more they stay the same

In the old days of the seventies our national unemployment statistics used to be based upon the number or people claiming an unemployment benefit from the then DSS and at some point a bright spark in government decided that instead of using that empirical measurement of those who are self-identifying as “unemployed” they would use  a supposedly better system of statistical sampling. Frankly I was unconvinced when this change was made and I recall discussing the change with my late father who was equally scathing and of the opinion that it was just a blatant attempt to manipulate the public perceptions of the level of unemployment.  Over the subsequent years since the change I have  shared my cynicism about the statistics many times but this little snippet from the Age shows just how right I am  to distrust such things

Each month the bureau surveys about 29,000 homes. One-eighth of the group, about 3600 homes, leave the survey each month and a new 3600 are ”rotated” in.

Rarely, usually only once every one or two years, employment conditions in the new homes are quite different to those in the old. When that happens, the official employment numbers jump (or fall) even if employment itself hasn’t changed.

The houses rotated in in February were extremely different to the houses rotated out. So different that the bureau believes the rotation itself was responsible for half of the reported 71,500 surge in employment, the ”best monthly job creation result in 13 years”.

Bureau staff briefed government officials Thursday morning

Another unusual occurrence ”amplified” the error.

To convert its survey into answers for the entire population, the bureau multiplies the result by a number based on its guess of the population. Its best guess is that Australia’s working age population rose by more than usual at the start of this year as a greater than usual number of foreign students arrived.

It reckons this further exaggerated the already-exaggerated employment growth, perhaps by another 13 per cent.

It would prefer people to look at its estimate of what it calls the trend. This shows employment climbed at a sedate pace of 11,600 in February, much less than 71,500, and just enough to keep pace with population. The unemployment rate remained steady at 5.4 per cent.

As someone once said ” there are lies, damned lies and statistics “   and when it comes to this or any other government talking about how well they are doing in creating or maintaining our employment levels when they bandy around figures as if they are holy writ it is probably wise to think on the way such figures are magicked into existence by the ABS especially if they are trumpeted by any political player as being indicative of a government’s performance in “creating jobs”
Cheers Comrades
a gratuitous image of a woman exercising to distract attention from the post, rather like the way that employment ststitics distract attention form the actual level of employment

A gratuitous image of a woman exercising to distract attention from the post, rather like the way that employment statistics distract attention form the actual level of unemployment.

Cue the usual suspects 🙄

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