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Nielsen: Swing To Coalition, Preferred Leader Ratings

There I knew that the post budget bad polling was never going to be the end of the world for the coalition government although if you only ever read what was said about it in the Age or the Guardian you might think that the Abbott government was on the ropes the truth is that most people understand that it is better to do the right thing and be temporarily unpopular than to do the popular things and just hope that some solution “will be found” to the issues you are ignoring.

Cheers Comrade Yale

The Red And The Blue

YET ANOTHER POLL showing the Coalition reclaiming lost support is out this morning, with the Fairfax-Nielsen Poll showing Labor’s predictable post-budget lead halved to now stand at 53-47 after preferences; the results are in line with other polling we have been tracking, with the trend back to the government now both unmistakable and gathering pace. Nielsen also asked the “preferred leader” questions — we’ll briefly analyse these as well.

Certainly, any election at which the ALP scored 53% of the vote after preferences is — funnily enough — likely to be won by the ALP.

But as I heard one commentator remark last week, opinion polls canvass people’s views about their voting intention “if an election for the House of Representatives were to be held this weekend” and that, clearly, there is no election on foot at present (the wildest dreams of the Communist Party Greens and the ALP notwithstanding).


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  1. les h matthews says:

    or to put it another way ‘Coalition improves but Labor (still) in front’

    and Malcolm is (still) the preferred leader of the LP

    nothing has really changed has it?

  2. Richard Ryan says:

    So true, and we have a Terrorist warning in the air,” I love the smell of terrorism in the early morning”!

  3. Iain Hall says:

    Labor and greens voters may certainly prefer Malcolm but as Yale points out in his analysis , they would never vote for him even if he was the leader.

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