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ALP Leadership: Could Quentin Bryce Do A John Kerr?

Well Yale you paint a very interesting scenario here and I don’t think it is at all far fetched that things could pan out the way that you suggest except that I, like your own good self, tend to think that Rudd challenging will come to nowt . Rudd reminds me very much of King Lear who having utterly stuffed up in the way that he governed is now raging against the storm of public disapproval. And like the play we know that this government will not end well.
Cheers Comrade Yale


  1. Ray Dixon says:

    I know it’s not your post, Iain, but the suggestion that the GG could dismiss the government if it changes leaders to Rudd less than 100 days out from the election (or at any time) is absurd and to even suggest it shows how fearful the conservative supporters out there are of a Rudd return.

    Here’s the bottom line: Not even Tony Abbott would accept the commission of PM in those circumstances, so the theory is blown to pieces from the outset.

  2. Iain Hall says:

    I find nothing that unlikely at all in the scenario outlined by Yale in his post. Its all based very much in the laws and conventions that would be in play here if Rudd were to challenge. If nothing else it shows a factor that will be in play and on the minds of Labor MPs on both sides of the Gillard/ Rudd schism. Personally I think that Rudd will not have a go and that if he does it will fail. And I say this with some reluctance because I will owe my brother a bottle of scotch if Gillard goes to the next election as leader.

  3. Ray Dixon says:

    It’s fanciful stuff put out by one-eyed, amateur ‘armchair experts’, Iain. As I suggested, it just shows you how fearful some rusted-on conservatives are of a Rudd return. Honestly, Constitutional law is a bit more complicated than what they suggest and there would be no grounds for the GG refusing to swear Rudd in as the new PM.

    As for a Rudd challenge, if it comes at all, it’ll be at the end of next week. I’d say it’s about 50/50 as to if it happens, however, I’d say Rudd would get 60 of 100 votes from Caucus if it does happen.

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