This year promises to be a big year in Queensland politics. In the first half of the year there’s the Brisbane Council elections and a state government election due, and there’s still a small possibility that the current federal government could collapse in the second half of the year.
I know for a fact that at least some Labor operatives believe in promoting the party’s candidates without much mention of Labor when the ALP’s brand is not popular. So I was very interested to see this flyer for the local elections arrive in my mailbox.
This would seem to confirm what many here suspect: that Labor is currently on the nose in the Sunshine State and will likely to thrashed in both the State and local elections, not to mention the federal election due next year.
This trend started a few years ago, when the conservatives came closer to winning office in that state election than the three state elections before it. The following year, Queensland swung hard against Labor federally, delivering the vast majority of seats in the state to the LNP. If it was up to Queensland, Juliar Gillard, Kevin Rudd and the rest of federal Labor would have been relegated to Opposition nearly two years ago.
That’s not to say of course that Queenslanders are usually ill-disposed to Labor. The ALP has won every election in this state since 1989, and governed for all but two years in that period. And of course, it was the Pineapple State that delivered for Kevin Rudd in 2007 in what was a massive swing towards Labor that year.
In terms of the state election, there’s no doubt that the government’s longevity is one of its biggest electoral problems in spite of the fact that the government hasn’t been too bad. But many voters would still be angry with the fact that Anna Bligh promise not to privatise before the last election, and subsequently did so, in spite of Bligh’s strong performance during the floods. And of course, the electorate is currently in love with Campbell Newman, who is running from Premier from outside the Parliament.
As I said, it’s going to be a big year for politics in the Sunshine State.