The Australian Newspaper has done another one of its polls and guess what Brother Number One and his government have lost the lead in two party preferred terms.
Mr Rudd’s previous standing as being seen to be “decisive and strong” also fell significantly, and for the first time since the election Labor lost its lead over allcomers as the preferred party to handle climate change.
For the first time in Mr Rudd’s prime ministership, an opposition leader is seen clearly as being stronger and more decisive than Mr Rudd, and Tony Abbott is considered almost equal with the Prime Minister in his grasp of major policy issues.
After weeks of dramatic policy reversals and broken promises, culminating last week in Mr Rudd’s decision to put off his Carbon Pollution Reduction Scheme until at least 2013, the government’s primary vote has plunged eight percentage points to just 35 per cent. The Coalition’s primary support has risen three points to 43 per cent.
Most of Labor’s lost vote appears to have gone to “others and independents” rather than to the Coalition or the Greens.
According to the latest Newspoll, taken last weekend exclusively for The Australian and polling almost 1200 voters, the extraordinary shifts in the primary vote mean the two-party-preferred support for Labor has dropped to 49 per cent while the Coalition’s has risen from 46 to 51 per cent. The ALP won the last election with a two-party-preferred vote of 52.7 to 47.3 per cent. A swath of seats would fall in an election with a swing of just 1 per cent either way, and the Coalition needs to win about seven seats to win the election.
That membership of the One Term Club is looking more and more like a sure thing, but of course you can never be certain of these things with someone as dedicated to staying in office as our dear Brother Number One. He will try almost anything, as the recent announcements on tax show. That little bit of business was just more slight of hand intended to show his left wing supporters that he is still with the program of attacking the rich to give to the “poor”. He clearly hopes that the tax issue will join the health reforms as generators of a very large smoke screen to hide the fact that he has been doing some incredible political gymnastics of late.
In England the election is tomorrow and I very much look forward to seeing a change of government there after 13 years of Labour government but it seems to me that in this country being on the nose with the electorate has taken a great deal less time…