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The party is over for The New Again Dear Leader

Its entirely understandable that Labor true believers are feeling rather despondent at the moment  because things are not looking good for the New Again Dear Leader as in the marginal seats where it really matters his support is evaporating away faster than metho on a hot day, soon all that will remain is the memory of that cool wetness and a faint wiff of alcohol in the air.

Western

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Until now i have been rather circumspect about calling the result at this early stage but i just feel it in my water that the result for Rudd is going to be a defeat of Queensland proportions with Labor reduced to an ignoble rump.

And that dear Comrades, is something to cheer.

20050704Fireworks


15 Comments

  1. James says:

    Don’t know that I would as far over the top to describe the victory forthcoming in such terms, but yes it’s going to be significant and shows that the return of the Labor ‘New Way’ hasn’t worked the miracle that they had hoped, as people still see the Labor ‘Óld Way’ and old leader.

  2. Iain Hall says:

    I may be wrong James but I am beginning to detect precisely the same vibe that I felt in the last weeks of the Bligh(t) government all that I am waiting for is the begging ads asking the voters not to give Tony Abbott too big a majority which encouraged the voters to do precisely that.

  3. James says:

    Concur with that. I found the Queensland election fascinating at the time and there are a lot of similarities between this Federal election and that one. The big one being the state of the nation as was the state of the state.

    The coalition will have to make a lot of hard, on the surface un-popular decisions to get the ship back on course as has Campbell Newman and his crew. Sure they will be in the short term taken to the alter like sacrificial lambs for taking the hard yards.

    I predict that immediately following a drubbing Rudd could even step aside even when winning his own seat, or he’ll certainly be shown the door of the Labor Party leaders rest room again, as those that are left behind will have had a gut full.

    He could always take up a position with the AFL as mascot for Essendon, appropriate as a bumber, oops bomber, having failed to inject the appropriate stimulus to Labor.

  4. Ray Dixon says:

    Iain, this post is the equivalent of Collingwood’s Joffa donning the gold jacket at 1/4 time after the Pies have won the first quarter. I think your reaction is more a sign of relief after the initial scare you got when Rudd took all the running and drew level in the polling. I agree that the odds still heavily favour a coalition win – especially when you look at marginal seat polling – but it’s still “possible” for Abbott to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory yet.

    Eg. His new asylum seeker policy just announced looks strange and complex. It effectively says he WILL admit boat people to Australia (albeit on TPVs), whereas Rudd is the one who has actually slammed the door shut. It’s a confusing message Abbott is sending on that and he seems to have gone a step too far. There are more twists to come in this tale, I suggest.

  5. Iain Hall says:

    Ray what is confused when it comes to Asylum seeker policy is Rudd’s PNG solution which does not apply to those already here. I am rather sure that Rudd has been hoping that the pubic would not notice that pertinent detail but the Opposition have noticed and they have made it clear that when they win office they will work hard to clear the backlog; firstly by removing the ability of claimants to endlessly appeal a rejection, secondly to promptly deport failed claimants, thirdly to only give those who have a proven claim a TPV and a promise that they will NEVER be able to get permanent residency or citizenship. I can’t for the live of me see how you find that difficult to understand,

  6. Ray Dixon says:

    Those who are already here are … already here, Iain. Abbott’s plan amounts to rounding up people awaiting their applications to be processed and putting them into already over-crowded detention centres. What’s the point of that? It’s a step too far and it won’t work. He might also run into a bit of trouble trying to remove their rights under the law.

    The point you (and he) are overlooking is that by also saying that new boat people will be issued TPVs he is conceding that he has not closed the door as firmly as Rudd has. He is still encouraging people smugglers to ply their trade and sell passage because, you know, “Tony’s going to win and issue you with a TPV”. That’s the message he is sending and I think it’s quite a cynical one that is designed to keep the boats coming right up to election day.

    I think it’s a fake policy designed only for the next 3 weeks.

    And I think you’ll find Rudd and Burke (and the media) will pick this new policy to pieces and reveal it for the crappy sham that it is. It’s a vote loser, Iain.

  7. James says:

    Yahoo, This is the policy Rudd was afraid to announce, for fear of upsetting some in the western suburbs of Sydney and especially in Lakemba.

  8. Ray Dixon says:

    The Coalition’s new ad:

    A MESSAGE TO PEOPLE SMUGGLERS AND ASYLUM SEEKERS

    IF YOU ARRIVE IN AUSTRALIA BY BOAT I’LL LET YOU IN AND GIVE YOU TEMPORARY PROTECTION.

    YOU’LL FIND IT A BIT HARDER TO GET PERMANENT RESIDENCY BUT THERE’s STILL A CHANCE.

    UNDER MY PLAN YOU’VE AT LEAST GOT A CHANCE OF BEING SETTLED HERE.

    SO KEEP THOSE BOATS COMING RIGHT UP TO SEPTEMBER 7.

    PLEASE !

    Signed: T. Abbott

  9. James says:

    Just spent time Googling and ÝAHOOING’ to try and find that add, BUT, surprisingly it doesn’t come up. Maybe you could perhaps supply a link to it?

  10. Ray Dixon says:

    James, I repeat, whenever you want a sensible debate I’m happy to engage you in one.

  11. James says:

    So I guess we can take it from that non reply to my reasonable question, that your previous post was some sensible Labor style creativity on your behalf, can we?

  12. Ray Dixon says:

    James, what you can take is this:

    My mock ad was clearly an opinion – namely that Abbott’s policy is a sham designed to keep boats coming up to the election date and, thereby, keep pressure on Rudd over the issue.

    Your question querying the authenticity of my mock ad was not “reasonable” and a diversion into nothingness. It did not go to the issue. When you want to speak to the issues without: sarcasm, personalised mockery & insults and with respect, then I’m happy to engage you.

  13. James says:

    Hmmmm, been doing a bit of reading around here, seems that you have a panache for attack of individuals on here, and elsewhere, who dare to question your “I’m always right and I’m never wrong” approach. Have you ever given thought that sometimes, maybe just sometimes other people might be right and you might be wrong?

    You seem to have a history of writing off just about everything that people say as being sarcasm, personalised mockery towards yourself, insults towards yourself and demands that what you have to say, right or wrong demands respect.

    I also see that you have penned here under at least one alias of ‘SockPuppet’ or SookPuppet or whatever which carries some of your signature traits.

  14. Ray Dixon says:

    James, now you’re just being purely personal, full stop. If you want a debate on the election issues, I’m happy to oblige, but your above comment is simply a focus on the person, not the issues. I have no problem with you or anyone else “daring” to disagree with me – Iain disagrees with me all the time but we don’t get into this sort of rubbish. You either want to talk to the issues or you don’t. It seems you don’t and you’d rather attack the person – that’s now obvious. Well listen to me:

    You’re becoming just another anonymous troll, and I am not interested in going down that path with you, buddy.

  15. […] The party is over for The New Again Dear Leader (iainhall.wordpress.com) […]

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