What they said at Larvartus Prodeo

Lefty Kim at Larvartus Prodeo on February 15, 2009:

But on any objective view, surely there were always folk on the Labor front bench throughout the long years of opposition who were more talented, plausible and convincing than the sad and sorry mob currently occupying the Liberal benches.

Surely Kim can’t be referring to the current Labor front bench which is almost universally acknowledged to be one of the most incompetent government’s in Australia’s history. In contrast, no one can seriously question that the Howard Government was generally competent.

So the question arises: to where has Labor’s vast talent gone? Surely they must have disappeared.

I expect that Kim will now report on the greatest vanishing act in Australian politics since the disappearance of Harold Holt in 1967.

The AFL Grand Final 2011

Collingwood v Geelong

   

The battle of the uglies

As promised, I bring you this preview of the biggest real football event of the year – the AFL Grand Final. We’re not talking about any girl’s game like Soccer here. And we’re not talking about that game of thugs played by short-necked, overweight, meathead, knuckle-grazing neanderthals in NSW & Queensland, known as Rugby League. No, this is Aussie Rules, our national game. We invented it. Or maybe the aborigines did but then again, how bloody Australian does that make it? If you don’t follow and support AFL then you are not fit to be called Australian – it’s off to Nauru for you … with no benefits!

Getting down to business and the main event, this year sees the clash of two teams that have dominated the season like never before. I don’t know why the other 15 teams even bothered to turn up because Collingwood & Geelong have both been practically unbeatable … although Geelong has beaten Collingwood in both their clashes, the latest being an absolute walloping in the final round just before the finals. Some people say the result didn’t mean much as both sides were already set in the #1 and #2 positions and the Round 24 game couldn’t change that. Those people would be mainly Collingwood supporters though.

Which brings me to the first reason why I think that Geelong will win: BETTER FORM.

There are other reasons why I think the Cats will prevail and deny the Pies (short for Magpies) the glory of winning back-to-back Premierships. Actually, I could say right here that I don’t really give a shit who wins and leave it at that but I’ll carry on.

Another reason for picking Geelong is the really dumb deal Collingwood have done to sack their very experienced and successful coach Mick Malthouse immediately after the game – win or lose – and replace him with ex-player Nathan Buckley who has never coached before.

How f*cking motivated do you think Malthouse will be to do the right thing and get his side up? He might even plan to lose just so he can stick it up Collingwood President Eddie Mc Guire, who forced Malthouse to sign this terminal contract two years ago, “or else …”.

Then again, Geelong is already coached by a rookie, ex-Brisbane Lions hit-man Chris Scott. However, this is a group of players who actually coach themselves and only need their official coach to not get in their way, which is exactly what the previous one did too – i.e. nothing – and they won two flags under him. 

If you doubt what I’m saying just look at Scott’s identical twin Brad, who has been the coach of North Melbourne for the past two years, a side without a lot of talent and, consequently, without a lot of success. Chris and Brad are so identical they’re almost the same person, yet Geelong is firing but North is not. This supports my theory that Geelong players are so experienced, talented and motivated that the only purpose their coach serves is to carry the oranges onto the field at 3/4 time and show up to the press conferences after the game. Scott does that very well.

So my prediction is for a Geelong win and quite an emphatic one, in fact I reckon it’ll be all but over by quarter time.

But I don’t know if I’d be any happier about Geelong winning than I would be if Collingwood somehow got up. It’s hard to like either team and …. as for their supporters:

    

 See what I mean about ugly?

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Andrew Bolt’s response to the Judgement

This morning I am going to be just a bit naughty (in terms of copyright) and reproduce in its entirety Andrew Bolts response to the judgement yesterday.  Frankly what he has to say about this very sad outcome deserves to be disseminated far and wide and he is absolutely right to be disgusted by this divisive and stupid law and the consequences of the judgement for the cohesiveness of our culture and any notion of free speech in Australia .

Nothing to Cheer about Comrades

Enjoy!!!

Andrew Bolt after the Federal Court ruling. Picture: Trevor Pinder Herald Sun

IT IS time we put aside racial and ethnic divisions. As multicultural Australia strives for harmony, these distinctions merely reinforce existing barriers.

I am the son of Dutch parents who came to Australia the year before I was born.

For a long time, I have felt like an outsider here, not least because my family moved around so very often.

You know how it is when you feel you don’t fit in. You look for other identities, other groups, to give you a sense of belonging, and perhaps some status.

So for a while I considered myself Dutch, and even took out a Dutch passport.

Later I realised how affected that was, and how I was borrowing a group identity rather than asserting my own. Andrew Bolt’s.

So I chose to refer to myself as Australian again, as one of the many who join in making this shared land our common home.

Yet even now I fret about how even nationality can divide us.

To be frank, I consider myself first of all an individual, and wish we could all deal with each other like that. No ethnicity. No nationality. No race. Certainly no divide that’s a mere accident of birth.

So that’s the background to the calamity that hit me yesterday.

That’s why I believe we can choose and even renounce our ethnic identity, because I have done that myself.

But I also believe that many people now increasingly do insist on asserting racial and ethnic identities, and that we increasingly spend money and pass laws to entrench them.

I think that a terrible pity, even a danger, because surely in a multi-ethnic community like ours it’s important to stress what unites us, not what divides.

As you might know, I have argued against this trend. For instance, and this is what brought me to the court, I have written about what seems to me an increasing trend of people to identify as Aboriginal, when even their looks loudly suggest they have ancestry drawn from many “races” or ethnicities, especially European.

In two columns in particular – and that’s where this misery started – I wrote about people who, it seemed to me, had other options than to call themselves, without qualification or hyphens, “Aboriginal”.

They included nine fair-skinned Aborigines who responded not with public arguments, but with a legal action in the Federal Court to have my articles banned forever, and me prevented from ever again writing something similar.

Full text: Click here for the Federal Court’s full judgement

I’m talking about people such as an Aboriginal lawyer whose father was British, an Aboriginal activist whose own sister identified as non-Aboriginal, and an Aboriginal writer whose father was born in Austria.

In those articles I wrote that I did not question the genuineness of their identification.

I did not even go as far as did Professor Larissa Behrendt, one of those who took me to court, who nine years ago declared that the definition of Aboriginality needed to be tightened, or “you run the risk of having the parameters stretched to the ludicrous point where someone can say: ‘Seven generations ago there was an Aboriginal person in my family, therefore I am Aboriginal’.”

To be clear: not once did I say that these people had no right to call themselves Aborigines. I’ve always accepted that they do.

I am too worried now to quote directly from what I did actually write, but my argument – which Justice Mordecai Bromberg of the Federal Court yesterday rejected – was that such people had choices.

They could choose to identify as Aboriginal, or as some other ethnicity in their ancestry, or, as I do, as Australian. Even as an individual.

Indeed, they could do as the former sprinter Patrick Johnson once put it in his own case: “I have the best of both cultures, of a couple of cultures. I mean, Dad’s Irish. I’m Aboriginal as well.”

As well. And, in fact, since I wrote my damn columns two years ago, I’ve seen that one of the people I wrote about has indeed since described herself as someone of many heritages – “of English, Jewish and Wathaurung descent”.

Two years ago, I would cheerfully have argued that this acknowledgment of a multiple ethnicity was healthier, and truer, in such cases than insisting on only being Aboriginal.

But not today. I no longer dare.

I yesterday learned I had breached the Racial Discrimination Act, as interpreted by Justice Bromberg, and I must now be very, very careful about discussing anyone’s identification with any ethnic group or “race” in multicultural Australia.

Here is a relevant part of his judgment:

“At the core of multiculturalism is the idea that people may identify with and express their racial or ethnic heritage free of pressure not to do so.”

In fact, it seems from Justice Bromberg’s judgment that it is against the values of the Racial Discrimination Act for me to write columns likely to “pressure” people to give up some racial identity.

Again, I quote: “Such pressure may ultimately cause a person to renounce their racial identity. Conduct with negating consequences such as those that I have described, is conduct inimical to the values that the RDA seeks to honour.

“People should be free to fully identify with their race without fear of public disdain or loss of esteem for so identifying.”

To argue against their choices is apparently “destructive of racial tolerance”. And, I now find to my astonishment and utter dismay, the arguments as expressed in my articles are also against the law.

CRUCIAL to Justice Bromberg’s finding is that fair-skinned Aborigines such as the claimants do not choose their ethnic or “racial” identity, even though one of the nine in the court action against me conceded in court that her own sister disputed her account of their genealogy and did not consider herself to be Aboriginal.

If Justice Bromberg’s view is correct, I would be even more depressed than I am already.

It would have grave implications for our multi-ethnic or “multi-racial” community. Must we always be defined by our ancestry, trapped forever in some box of race? Is someone with even just 1/128th Aboriginal ancestry forever an Aborigine, and Aborigine only?

Well, yes, suggests Justice Bromberg’s judgment – as long as that person felt Aboriginal and other Aborigines approved. And this must be the law, end of debate, even if many of us disagree – even though, as His Honour wrote, “the perception of many Australians of an Aboriginal person will no doubt be influenced by the stereotypical images of a dark-skinned Aboriginal person in outback Australia”.

But I must not go further. I may breach the law.

True, having declared my columns unlawful, Justice Bromberg did insist he did not mean to “suggest that it is unlawful for a publication to deal with racial identification including the challenging the genuineness of the identification of a group of people”.

Oh, really?

Believe me, I wouldn’t ever want to test that assurance after going through what I have — two years of worry, two weeks in court, and hundreds of thousands of dollars in legal costs, just to test whether my columns could pass this muster.

And, yes, Justice Bromberg suggests I did bring all this upon myself, not because of my opinion (even though he condemns it) but because of the way I expressed it.

After all, I used “mockery, derision (and) sarcasm” in writing my columns, and this could offend and humiliate people – although, frankly, the most offensive thing said by anyone in this case was the vilification of me by the claimant’s own barrister, Ron Merkel QC, who accused me of having a eugenics approach towards race – the approach which he said was behind the Nazis’ Nuremberg race laws. There was even an attempt to paint me as homophobic.

I also made mistakes, Justice Bromberg said, although none seemed to me to be of consequence.

Moreover, when I wrote that none of the fair-skinned Aborigines I’d mentioned had chosen their racial identity for “anything but the most heartfelt and honest of reasons”, people would think I wasn’t being “genuine”.

Justice Bromberg also said I’d used “derisive” comments “that have little or no legitimate forensic purpose to the argument”.

His Honour cited a long list of these bad comments of mine, such as “seeking power and reassurance in a racial identity is not just weak” and “it is also divisive, feeding a new movement to stress pointless or even invented racial differences”.

FOR expressing such views, in such language, I have lost my freedom to put my argument as I did.

And be warned: use such phrases as those yourself, and you too may lose your right to speak.

But as I say, Justice Bromberg insists he hasn’t stopped debate on racial identification, unless, apparently, your adjectives are too sharp, your wit too pointed, your views too blunt, your observations not quite to the point, your teasing too ticklish and your facts not in every case exactly correct.

And even then, having jumped every hurdle and written with the forensic dullness of a Reserve Bank governor, you will run the risk of a judge deciding that whatever you’ve written is, after all, the very opposite of what you really meant.

Despite Justice Bromberg’s assurances, I feel that writing frankly about multiculturalism, and especially Aboriginal identity, yesterday became too dangerous for any conservative. It’s simply safer to stay silent, or write about fluffy puppies instead.

And so the multiculturalists win. They win, because no one now dares object for fear of what it will cost them in court.

Hope they’re satisfied, to win a debate not by argument but fear.

Andrew Bolt “guilty” of racial discrimination

I guess he won't be singling out aborigines for a while.

“On the basis of my findings, I am satisfied that … Mr Bolt … engaged in conduct which contravened section 18c of the Racial Discrimination Act.”Federal Court Judge Justice Mordecai Bromberg handing down his verdict. 

Much will be made about today’s Federal Court finding that Herald Sun writer Andrew Bolt’s attack on ”white skinned aborigines” was a breach of our race discrimination laws. The full finding is HERE if you care to read it (warning – it’s very long and tedious).

But the bottom line, in my opinion, is this: Bolt was found to have gone too far in expressing his opinion that the so-called “fair-skinned aborigines” he targeted were getting some kind of advantage by disingenuously clinging to their aboriginal ancestry. He also made several errors of fact, which seemed to tip the balance between free speech and discrimination. 

According to the Judge, Bolt’s use of provocative and inflammatory language was intentionally offensive, insulting and intimidating to “fair skinned” aborigines, so much so that it went beyond the issue of free speech and stepped into the realm of hate speech. It’s much like when you write something that’s critical of an individual’s behaviour – it’s fine to have an opinion about that, but when you attach malice and mistruths it ceases to be one.

My own take on Bolt’s articles is they were unnecessary and mean-spirited in their intent, which was to provoke feelings of ill will towards those in our society of indigenous descent. Why single out these people? It’s a constant theme with Bolt, as are his regular attacks on the stolen generation. It seems to me that Andrew Bolt simply has it in for aboriginal people, full stop. The Judge seemed to agree with that too.

That said, I don’t agree with those who claim the court’s decision is “a blow to free speech”. That’s rubbish. Just mind your manners in future, Mr Bolt (and others), and you’ll be fine. There’s no harm been done on that front at all and this decision simply means that Andrew Bolt has received a well deserved official kick up the arse … for being too hateful. Amen.

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Johnny English Reborn, very good for a laugh

Just for a change of pace I am today going to do something rather light-hearted, talking about the movie I went to see with my daughter on Monday. We went to see “Johnny English” and it was a hoot from start to finish! with some very good gags that were not laboured or overdone  as the Americans are so fond of doing. Top marks to Rowan Atkinson for his portrayal of the main character who he has endowed with just the right mixture of ineptitude, arrogance,  good intentions, and an amazingly lack of enough self-awareness that would make his failings stop him romping home to save the day gee that sort of  reminds me of someone else whose name eludes me at present…

Anyway we loved the film and had a great day out so dear readers what recent films have rung your bells?

Cheers Comrades

 

 

 

Nikki Sava and Labor’s love resurection

When it comes to female Jounrnos I really like Nikki Sava’s style, she has a sort of  free and easy way of making her argument clearly and without unnecessary flourishes and hyperbole.  Hence I look forward to reading her pieces and seeing her on the TV.  Her article in today’s Oz is a good example of  quality analysis:

click for source

As far a scenarios for a “Labor resurrection” go its at least plausible but personally I think that the electorate has so fallen out of love with Labor that the best they can hope for is to lose less badly under a Rudd resurrection and we have to ask if the country is ready to replace one dead PM walking with a reanimated Zombie PM… Like who would want to be in the ALP at present with that sort choice on offer?

Cheers Comrades

Jeremy Sear’s Own Goal Hat Trick

Blogging is a funny old game, especially when you write about politics and engage in ongoing sniping across the political trenches. Now our learned friend was quite peeved when the Herald sun took up the story of Andy Blume and when that chap lost his job with Yarra Trams now our man at the bar thought that there was something terribly wrong and unjust that poor Andy has been forced into the ranks of the unemployed for the things that he has Tweeted and posted on the internet. It would seem that Jezza really likes to think that there should be no consequences for dising your employer on the net or for posting pictures of Tram passengers   to mock and deride them to your twitter followers. Anyway one of the elements of the Andy Blume saga was the fact that he was taking pictures from the cab of his Tram so our learned friend thought that he had the perfect counter strike when Andrew bolt published this post, another in his “from the window of a typical blog reader” series:

A fairly innocuous post and not something that really meets Pure Poison’s Mission statement (not that it ever seems to matter to Dave and Jezza) none the less our learned friend decided to write about it any way seeing an opportunity to “even the score” and this post was the result which in turn led to Andrew Bolt putting up this post  which is where I come into this picture because I posted this comment to Andrew’s post:

Jeremy Sear is a sad venial man who is seeking a revenge of sorts because the Herald Sun quite rightly highlighted the case of his personal friend Andy Blume’s very bad internet behaviour while he was employed by Yarra Trams. The delightful irony is that on this occasion he has completely misunderstood just what goes on at the pointy end of a modern Jet airliner and just how his attempt to draw a comparison between a jet cockpit and Tram’s driving compartment is just a total FAIL.
Its good for a laugh though LOL

This resulted in our learned friend sending me an email complaining about my comment and posting this comment in the thread of his Pure Poison post:

I would dearly love to share the email exchange but our learned friend is rather coy about what he had to say but the gist of it was that he claimed that I misrepresented him because I had no evidence that he was a “close personal friend” of Andy Blume, he maintained that he had met the man only twice at blog meet ups and that Blume was just one of the many people that he follows on twitter. In the exchange that followed (over several emails during the afternoon) he insisted that he did not want me to write a correction, and when I asked him why he was emailing me rather than posting something at Bolts Blog  to set the record straight on the nature of his relationship with Andy Blume Jezza made comparisons between Blume and syphilis and the communist witch-hunts. All rather entertaining on a quiet Sunday afternoon. Then I made a point of rereading my comment at Bolts blog and I noticed that I had not in fact used the adjective “close” at all (like who remembers the precise wording of every comment that posted on the internet?) After a hearty belly laugh at the realisation that our learned friend had spent the afternoon chiding me about making sure that one has evidence for the claims made on the internet. I wrote back to him pointing out that I had never suggested that he was a “close personal friend” at all. Top marks to the chap though for editing his comment (cited above) to correct the error, however you just can’t escape the fact that the whole episode is a great example of crusading blogger scoring a hat trick of own goals. In the first instance he was wrong to assume that the picture posted by Andrew Bolt represents any sort of pilot negligence or misdeed which makes his comparison with the Andy Blume affair  pointless, secondly he spent some effort trying to shame me into making some sort of retraction and public apology for something that I have not done, and finally it was he who has made a “correction” to what he has said about this matter (at my insistence) rather than yours truly.

Amusing stuff indeed Comrades

Betting strategies in political Poker

In the game of political poker Christian Kerr thinks that the Greens are in danger of over playing their hand but I tend to think that they have already done so in the nature of their deal with Gillard:

Click for source

Now I’m no gambler and the only time that I have played poker in recent times has been within the Game Red Dead Redemption on the PS3, but there is a seductive game of sorts that you have to play if you want to win a decent sized pot. Namely you have to bet incrementally teasing your opponent into making a bigger and bigger commitment until they have no choice but to go all in. Bet too big too early and they will just fold. You may win the hand but your winning will do little to enrich you, which sort of defeats the purpose of playing somewhat.
Had Gillard been a stronger player and Brown had his eye on a longer term vision both would have realised that they were each to desperate to win the pot and neither had thought enough about the implications of winning on the terms that were on the table. Put simply Brown asked too much of Gillard, and Gillard conceded too easily on the Carbon Tax. I think that the likely result will be a disaster for both parties. The Greens have made their all in betting practice entirely obvious and as a result they will find that the majors will be putting them last on how to vote cards at the next poll with obvious results for their ambitions in the lower house, while Labor have squandered all of their chips to win the keys to the lodge when they could have won them for less. Greed and desperation a terrible bedfellows when you are negotiating especially when it is about power rather than money Brown and Gillard are both doing a fine job of busting out from the game. Gillard will go first having bankrupted Labor of its political capital with her ineptitude as a high stakes player, while Brown may stay in the game a bit longer he will find that his dogmatic style will win him no new friends and without finding new friends in the electorate he will never be more than an annoying side bet.

The winner is of course going to be the Coalition who have been just staying at the table making small incremental bets while their opponents have been making the most showy examples of chip mal-dexterity  that anyone can imagine.  The trouble is that a player needs good opponents in an ongoing game and I worry that with the total demolition of their opponents that the Coalition will suffer in the long term so even I hope that Labor can lift its game enough to be an effective opposition when the inevitable loss happens at the next election.

Cheers Comrades

AFL throw in

click for source

I hope that Ray will give us a good run down on the upcoming AFL Grand final, even though his team of choice won’t be there and his least favourite team will be. I found this piece rather interesting because it goes right to the heart of the difference between what we perceive someone to be and what they actually are.

Cheers ComRayde

Jamie McIntyre, fighting the good fight.

Being a bit controversial or outspoken online can sometimes be risky, especially if you upset a few  obsessives who hide behind a mask of electronic anonymity to attack you. I’ve had to put up with a few of them for years and in many ways I just feel pity for them in their impotent hypocrisy in their outrageous attempts bring me to heel. Threats, smeers  and blackmail   have been their stock in trade and I take a never concede and never  surrender stance to all of their nonsense. Even so I would be more than happy to see their nonsense gone from the net and my life. Which is why I noticed this piece in today’s Courier  Mail. Now I have never heard of the Jamie McIntyre who is taking Google to court to find the identity of the internet nobodies who assail him but I do salute him for his efforts to make the online world a more civil place:

Photobucket

Click for source

When you write under your own name you just have to be both truthful and civil because there are clear consequences for being otherwise. On the odd occasion when a real person  has felt aggrieved by something published  at the Sandpit they have been able to contact me, as site-owner and seek redress for their grievance were it the case for all websites the Internet would be a far more civil place. This is why I am very happy to see cases like the one being brought by Jamie McIntyre before the courts. because the sooner that internet anonymity becomes less easy the sooner that ordinary people will have a chance to get redress for the lies and slanders that are far too easy to perpetrate without consequences.

Cheers Comrades

Oh, Sophie!

(This post is reproduced from my home blog, Alpine Opinion)

And you thought Thomson was bad?

Mirabella in the spotlight over money matters

This situation certainly needs to be looked into because on appearance it looks like Sophie Mirabella took advantage of a man suffering from Alzheimer’s disease to further her own financial position by deliberately alienating (him) from his children.

They are not my words above. They’re from the comments left by a reader of The Age article I refer to here … and they ring major alarm bells for our local member of Federal Parliament, Sophie Mirabella.

All voters in this electorate (Indi) really do need to read today’s Age article Power, love and money. Even rusted-on Liberal supporters would have to agree that it raises serious questions over the integrity, ethics and honesty of Sophie Mirabella and whether or not she is a fit person to represent us.

It’s a long story but to put it in a nutshell: It appears (and I use that term very carefully, because I do not want to make any false allegations) that Ms Mirabella may have, over a period of some years, taken financial advantage of an elderly and mentally impaired man, Melbourne QC Colin Howard, who recently died. Mirabella actually lived with Howard (who is 40 years her senior) for 5 years in the late 1990s but after moving to Wangaratta and entering Federal politics, became involved with another man (and later married) while still maintaining a relationship with the ailing former lover, who just happened to be worth a few bob.

Over the past decade or so it is reported that Mirabella obtained Howard’s power of attorney and control over his financial affairs, while receiving large “gifts” from him to fund her election and to go towards the $695,000 purchase price of the Wangaratta home she and husband Greg Mirabella bought in 2006.

Apparently, she is also now the executor of the deceased man’s will and stands to inherit his $1 million Carlton home.

And there’s more, including allegations (or inferences at least) made by Howard’s independently wealthy son & daughter  that Mirabella may have forged a letter aimed at alienating Howard from his family in his dying years while all this was going on. 

Make of this what you will but it appears to me (i.e. in my opinion, allegedly, possibly, or whatever other term I have to use to avoid being sued) that Mirabella is A  MANIPULATING CROOK.

Will someone please run against her (no, not the Labor Party, I think we need an independent) and get her kicked out of Parliament once and for all? I’ll do it if no one else will.

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Jo Chandler’s literary dreams busted by “A Fair Cop”????


I may be laughing heartily at this expected result for sales of Christine Nixon’s book but I bet that her co-author Jo Chandler is somewhat less amused as this book is destined for the remainder tables in record time despite it being launched by Julia Gillard. Well lets be real here a self serving biography, written by and about a somewhat disgraced police commissioner who ended her career as the result her in ineptitude in the face of a terrible crisis by coincidentally choosing to spend time with her biographer rather than being at her post has to have done sales of the book a world of harm good.

click for source

I wonder how sales of Jo Chandler’s knee trembler book about how wonderful her fellow true believing Climate scientists is doing, Maybe Jo Chandler should be thankful that she still has her job with the Age as a glorified spell checker otherwise she might just have to spend more time reading dull and depressive poets drinking Chai Lattes and trying to think of new ways to write more literary failures masterpieces .

Cheers Comrades

Lazarus with half pike and flashy somersault

Who else out there thinks that the introduction of Gillard’s legislative fix for the high court decision on her Malaysian solution was a really bad strategic move? The only reason that she could have been doing so is some sort of empty hope that Abbott would relent when the question was definitively put in the house. Of course as he is a far more astute player than Gillard. Tony Abbott has just been able to watch as yet again Labor  drives a dagger into its own collective chest on this issue. Its just another case of Labor ineptitude and who better to go to but Richo who must thank his lucky stars every morning that he does not have to spin such bad strategy to a public who used to believe that Labor was a realistic option for decent government only to find that they have a very bad comedy act who seem to have forgotten that you don’t save a bad performance with even worse scripts and worse acting.

Leadership speculation is inevitable in this climate of confusion and desperation. Kevin Rudd is the name on every journalist’s lips and the lips of many voters, if the polls are to be believed. The big question is will the caucus be so panicked that it would swallow its pride and bring him back.

Rudd, of course, is doing nothing to dampen down this speculation and no doubt he will be emboldened by that stupid leak to The Daily Telegraph. If the Prime Minister or her office had workshopped for a month to find the most ham-fisted, clumsy way to leak a damaging story on Rudd’s largesse on his overseas trips, they couldn’t have been silly enough to come up with this. This one had the PM’s fingerprints all over it.

While wholesale panic has not yet set in, there is movement at the station on the leadership question. Rudd always had some supporters and the prospect of losing 40 seats has seen that support base grow from about 10 to somewhere in the early 20s. None of the caucus big guns have jumped on board yet and I doubt they will.

The intractable problem of the three independents who keep Labor in power has not diminished. There is no sign yet that they are prepared to countenance a leadership change. The problem is that this latest mega-failure on refugees has extinguished all hope in the caucus that their poll numbers may recover in time for the next election.

This is a dilemma as awful as it is unprecedented. With no logical candidate, no agreement for change with the independents, there is a sense of hopelessness settling over the entire caucus. There is a view that like good little lemmings they have no choice but to follow Gillard over the cliff.

Graham Richardson

I think that its only a matter of time now and even the much mooted return of Brother Number One from his enforced long (on frequent flyer) march can save either the government or the party. The only way that he would stand a chance would require him to drop the Carbon Tax, saying that it needs electoral endorsement before becoming Law and cutting back the NBN while trying to run a very dull “caretaker” government that focuses on sound administration rather than the endless and often questionable “reform”. Some how I don’t think that Brother Number One will be able to do this because his ego is just too uncontrollable and that he will want to invent some new “big vision” concept to redeem himself as the nations visionary saviour…

Cheers Comrades

Blogging Vs Twitter on politics

I make no secret of may general disdain for Twitter (yeah I am aware of the irony of me having a twitter account) and I have been very aware of the way that the rise of  twitter has been matched by a decline in output from some bloggers. Frankly that has not been an entirely bad thing as many of the idiots who were a blight upon blogging have moved to twitter.

Anyway here is a piece from Bolta praising a blog post that is worthy of a citation here:

click for link to the original blog post cited by Andrew Bolt

Twitter certainly has value as a promotional tool but frankly it is very poor indeed when it comes to real political discourse.
Cheers Comrades

Swan’s Euromoney award an unfunny joke

Wayne Swan has been an under-performing Treasurer

When I heard this morning that Wayne Swan had won a gong for world’s greatest Finance Minister, I almost thought it was a joke. That’s almost as silly as Jeremy Sear winning an award for intellectual honesty after his many posts that have revealed he does not live up to his own standards.

Seriously, what has Wayne Swan done that merits such an award?

Some may stay the stimulus package that supposedly saved us from a major recession. That would be the same stimulus package that saw billions wasted on school halls and pink batts. There’s no real genius is being able to spend lots of money. Arguably, a Treasurer succeeds the most when he avoids excessive spending rather than causes it. There’s no doubt that the government’s response was excessive and unnecessary given that Australia was not significantly affected by the GFC.

Some may also point to Australia’s superior economic position compared to other developed countries. The problem with that argument is the fact that our healthier economic state is entirely due to the position that Swan inherited from the Coalition – a robust economy, banks being properly regulated by APRA and no net debt. That stands in sharp contrast to the United States and the vast majority of European nations.

Meanwhile, Swan’s tenure as Treasurer has seen quite a few fiascos:

- billions wasted on the stimulus

- massive budget deficits and soaring of debt levels, even after the GFC has come and gone

- Swan’s bungling over the RSPT, that Kevin Rudd understandably blames him for. The miners were basically ambushed with a super tax which would deter future investment in and growth of the mining industry. When they complained to the government, they were told that if they wanted the tax to change, they would have to have a change of government. The miners subsequently had little option but to take Labor up on its offer and destroy Rudd’s Prime Ministership in the process.

- the bank deposit guarantee which resulted in a flight from non-bank institutions and Swan referring investors to Centrelink

- Swan’s failure to name the last time federal Labor had a budget surplus.

- Swan counting tax hikes as “savings” in the budget, rather than the revenue raisers that they are

All up, Swan’s record is a pretty dreadful one, even though he inherited an enviable position when he became Treasurer. Unlike better Treasurers such as Keating and Costello, he has not tried to make Australia more prosperous by engaging in serious microeconomic reform. Instead, his fixation has been over wealth redistribution and buying votes over wealth creation. Swan has been an under-performer in the role, determined to take full credit for the positive consequences of the Howard Government’s superior economic management.

Peter Brent reckons the going is bad news for the government, as it will make it harder for them to remove him.

If Swan is indeed the world’s great Finance Minister, then every Finance Minister in the world should be replaced.

 

UPDATE: It seems that neither Keating nor Costello are keen to endorse Swan’s performance.